Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1080 | 59% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 958 | 1050 | 37% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 972 | 903 | 60% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 972 | 1149 | 27% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1007 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 828 | 1151 | 13% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 958 | 1003 | 44% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 958 | 1003 | 44% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 990 | 1078 | 38% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 953 | 71% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1051 | 879 | 73% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1070 | 958 | 66% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1089 | 51% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1002 | 57% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1051 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1017 | 1226 | 23% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1051 | 39% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 895 | 1216 | 14% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1045.8 has a 50.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).