Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1080 | 52% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1252 | 73% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 902 | 63% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1113 | 33% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1038 | 66% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 827 | 1152 | 13% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1031 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1031 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1117 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 946 | 72% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 922 | 1083 | 28% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1051 | 896 | 71% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 1025 | 56% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1059 | 56% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1051 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1218 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 900 | 1186 | 16% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1051.5 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).