Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (43 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 59
Defender wins (American): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1051 | 929 | 67% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1413 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1112 | 51% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1040 | 996 | 56% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1150 | 37% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1120 | 992 | 68% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1068 | 60% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1089 | 37% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 971 | 55% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 1039 | 44% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 971 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1092 | 1108 | 48% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1230 | 33% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1190 | 1006 | 74% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1017 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 900 | 64% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1060 | 42% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1099 | 55% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1075 | 40% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1220 | 47% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1048 | 1004 | 56% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1078 | 47% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1070 | 51% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1099 | 877 | 78% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1055 | 30% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1046.6 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).