Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (39 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (American): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 945 | 55% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 865 | 983 | 34% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1022 | 56% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1400 | 13% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 938 | 1048 | 35% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1149 | 28% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1016 | 41% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1074 | 40% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1011 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1074 | 39% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1041 | 69% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 1009 | 59% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1092 | 1151 | 42% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1227 | 33% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1188 | 1011 | 73% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 942 | 1034 | 37% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 898 | 58% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1003 | 982 | 53% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1023 | 66% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 1084 | 38% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1214 | 38% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 1006 | 48% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1069 | 1099 | 46% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 879 | 70% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1046 | 31% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1040.4 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).