Bertoldo the Brave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (28 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (American): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 913 | 864 | 57% | 2024-11-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-07-14 | Lost |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 974 | 52% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-06-03 | Tied |
| 946 | 1224 | 17% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 1106 | 1163 | 42% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1016 | 56% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 972 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1007 | 45% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 997 | 44% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 875 | 79% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
| 995 | 983 | 52% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1248 | 831 | 92% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1137 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-01-23 | Won |
| 842 | 1219 | 10% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1227 | 49% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 1079 | 41% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 960 | 899 | 59% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 878 | 82% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2018-10-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2018-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1021.8 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).