Bertoldo the Brave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (27 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 50
Defender wins (American): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-07-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 974 | 58% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-06-03 | Tied |
| 948 | 1192 | 20% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 939 | 63% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 1151 | 1163 | 48% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1034 | 43% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 972 | 1058 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1008 | 44% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 997 | 44% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
| 1151 | 875 | 83% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1071 | 39% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1126 | 858 | 82% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1137 | 1198 | 41% | 2019-01-23 | Won |
| 870 | 1116 | 20% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1226 | 48% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 1099 | 46% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 954 | 898 | 58% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 879 | 70% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2018-10-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2018-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1029.5 has a 53.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).