Reaper's Harvest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (21 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 17
Defender wins (German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 987 | 83% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2022-11-08 | Lost |
| 1141 | 945 | 76% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 1097 | 1018 | 61% | 2021-10-19 | Lost |
| 925 | 1043 | 34% | 2021-10-12 | Lost |
| 964 | 982 | 47% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 843 | 873 | 46% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1129 | 39% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1090 | 38% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1018 | 55% | 2020-09-27 | Lost |
| 996 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 1163 | 992 | 73% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-03-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 1173 | 34% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 996 | 1085 | 37% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2019-03-04 | Won |
| 903 | 1047 | 30% | 2018-08-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1031.1 has a 51.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).