The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1252 | 36% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 990 | 1025 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1059 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1007 | 43% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 927 | 951 | 47% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1130 | 44% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 788 | 825 | 45% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1004 | 65% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1004 | 36% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 894 | 1004 | 35% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1170 | 51% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1041.8 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).