The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1185 | 26% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1256 | 35% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1149 | 58% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1025 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1028 | 55% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1119 | 37% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1052 | 37% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 951 | 45% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1130 | 42% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 755 | 826 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1013 | 63% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1013 | 34% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 894 | 1013 | 34% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1196 | 47% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1052.4 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).