The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 895 | 49% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 1152 | 56% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1317 | 42% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1152 | 30% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1182 | 45% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1146 | 61% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1077 | 47% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1135 | 42% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 1011 | 949 | 59% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1122 | 56% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1138 | 1061 | 61% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 698 | 817 | 34% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1156 | 43% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1156 | 19% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 888 | 1156 | 18% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1221 | 49% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1081.8 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).