The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 895 | 49% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 1179 | 1203 | 47% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1313 | 43% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1203 | 24% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1225 | 39% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1145 | 63% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1097 | 44% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1135 | 45% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1007 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 970 | 1075 | 35% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 949 | 55% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1122 | 48% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 1002 | 69% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 707 | 828 | 33% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1028 | 61% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1028 | 32% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1028 | 31% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1205 | 48% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1069.7 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).