The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1213 | 23% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1254 | 35% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1146 | 60% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1003 | 58% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 962 | 1031 | 40% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 958 | 60% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 756 | 826 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 973 | 69% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 973 | 40% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 895 | 973 | 39% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1212 | 45% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1047.6 has a 46.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).