The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1223 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 955 | 1083 | 32% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1213 | 929 | 84% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1058.6 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).