The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (French): 2
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-08-11 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1119 | 46% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2018-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 956 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-06-24 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2018-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 961 | 74% | 2018-05-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1070.8 has a 45.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).