The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (8 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 3
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1226 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 956 | 1102 | 30% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1080.5 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).