Probe Toward The Hague
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Dutch): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2024-06-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1106 | 45% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1031 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).