Probe Toward The Hague
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Dutch): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-06-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1080 | 45% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1169 | 46% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1083.7 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).