Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 947 | 62% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 947 | 1039 | 37% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1073 | 64% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1215 | 77% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 933 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1223 | 36% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1158 | 947 | 77% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1129 | 1103 | 54% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1018 | 53% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 1096 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1107.6 vs 1068.6 has a 55.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).