Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1004 | 54% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1090 | 66% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1313 | 19% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 933 | 84% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1107 | 1124 | 48% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 933 | 1220 | 16% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 976 | 68% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1059 | 50% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.8 vs 1066.1 has a 54.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).