The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1030 | 40% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1002 | 64% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1018 | 42% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1038 | 61% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 899 | 960 | 41% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 973 | 53% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 934 | 916 | 53% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 996 | 1257 | 18% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 988 | 920 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 906 | 1043 | 31% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1114 | 36% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 982 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 903 | 999 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1040.2 has a 48.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).