The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1005 | 43% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1099 | 987 | 66% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1057 | 51% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 985 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 947 | 974 | 46% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 919 | 916 | 50% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 972 | 1275 | 15% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 987 | 918 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1057 | 72% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1039 | 32% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 1098 | 40% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1060 | 54% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 909 | 1024 | 34% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1031.1 vs 1037.4 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).