Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (18 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 37
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 947 | 63% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 900 | 866 | 55% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1025 | 1052 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1052 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 894 | 68% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 904 | 75% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1009 | 60% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1114 | 31% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1024 | 54% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1090 | 39% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1008.8 has a 54.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).