Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (16 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 35
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 999 | 52% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 994 | 59% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1058 | 994 | 59% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 919 | 70% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 910 | 75% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1009 | 58% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 981 | 1113 | 32% | 2017-05-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2017-04-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 999 | 62% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1164 | 30% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1005.1 has a 52.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).