Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1219 | 41% | 2025-12-06 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2025-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2024-04-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-07-31 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1133 | 62% | 2020-07-18 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1023 | 65% | 2020-07-12 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2020-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-07-02 | | Won |
| 977 | 996 | 47% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2020-06-23 | | Lost |
| 966 | 959 | 51% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 958 | 1147 | 25% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2019-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1047 | 60% | 2019-03-31 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2018-12-20 | | Won |
| 994 | 1143 | 30% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2018-01-04 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2017-01-21 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1051.3 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).