De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1006 | 48% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1087 | 43% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 975 | 1055 | 39% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1063 | 1214 | 30% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 930 | 1114 | 26% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1125 | 1274 | 30% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1150 | 23% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1125 | 31% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 985 | 76% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1182 | 1138 | 56% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1104.5 has a 41.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).