De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 988 | 55% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1037 | 54% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 966 | 1090 | 33% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 1227 | 16% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1152 | 1191 | 44% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1183 | 1141 | 56% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1106.9 has a 42.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).