De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1122 | 38% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1042 | 986 | 58% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1080 | 48% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 1101 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1309 | 25% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1266 | 13% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1125.6 has a 36.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).