De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1122 | 38% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1055 | 986 | 60% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1116 | 43% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 994 | 1154 | 28% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 1104 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1336 | 22% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1264 | 13% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1124.9 has a 37.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).