Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 889 | 862 | 54% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1207 | 1076 | 68% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1184 | 1109 | 61% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1045 | 987 | 58% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 931 | 1045 | 34% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1274 | 18% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1054.8 has a 46.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).