Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2026-02-28 | Won |
| 848 | 999 | 30% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1347 | 850 | 95% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 965 | 861 | 65% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1100 | 47% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 987 | 64% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 945 | 75% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 1084 | 34% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 878 | 945 | 40% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1056.5 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).