Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 974 | 45% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 864 | 63% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1250 | 998 | 81% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1107 | 53% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1211 | 24% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 939 | 1214 | 17% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 1084 | 35% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 881 | 999 | 34% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1074.9 has a 41.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).