Rocket's Red Glare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (34 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1142 | 1190 | 43% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1142 | 1089 | 58% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-09-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-10-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 923 | 954 | 46% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 920 | 1074 | 29% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 978 | 73% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 923 | 1124 | 24% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1135 | 1250 | 34% | 2021-01-08 | Lost |
| 1047 | 976 | 60% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 1075 | 40% | 2020-11-13 | Won |
| 946 | 1004 | 42% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 974 | 57% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1211 | 1060 | 70% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 998 | 1039 | 44% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 974 | 1130 | 29% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 991 | 65% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1001 | 946 | 58% | 2018-02-24 | Won |
| 923 | 973 | 43% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 1064 | 969 | 63% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1259 | 1141 | 66% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 1069 | 40% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 881 | 66% | 2016-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1053.5 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).