Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 879 | 83% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 958 | 936 | 53% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 755 | 1001 | 20% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 917 | 65% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1186 | 36% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-10-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1013 | 53% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 913 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1003.1 has a 54.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).