Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (13 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 950 | 60% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 936 | 958 | 47% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1066 | 47% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 973 | 1024 | 43% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 854 | 54% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1237 | 42% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 932 | 1014 | 38% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1058 | 44% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1167 | 43% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1032.5 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).