Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 901 | 940 | 44% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1213 | 52% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1225 | 22% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1173 | 27% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1225 | 1002 | 78% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 911 | 73% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 912 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1213 | 935 | 83% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 857 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 974 | 66% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1012.9 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).