Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1224 | 1193 | 54% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 996 | 1252 | 19% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 996 | 1173 | 27% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1005 | 990 | 52% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 877 | 77% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 913 | 976 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1193 | 935 | 82% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 846 | 857 | 48% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1092 | 50% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1018 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).