Initial Skirmish
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (21 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (French): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1050 | 26% | 2025-03-21 | Lost |
| 1083 | 905 | 74% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1011 | 67% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1037 | 46% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 864 | 1019 | 29% | 2023-03-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1050 | 62% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 1084 | 40% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1088 | 39% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1136 | 1111 | 54% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 1136 | 38% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1309 | 14% | 2016-12-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1219 | 25% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1050 | 1003 | 57% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1079 | 1039 | 56% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1254 | 1050 | 76% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1266 | 1127 | 69% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1084.5 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).