The Devil's Armpit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1208 | 1076 | 68% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
863 | 993 | 32% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1028 | 1157 | 32% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
1028 | 1157 | 32% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1095.8 has a 40.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).