Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (57 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 94
Defender wins (Polish): 77
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1131 | 49% | 2025-02-07 | Won |
| 893 | 1099 | 23% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 896 | 975 | 39% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 927 | 69% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1057 | 1004 | 58% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 889 | 950 | 41% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 956 | 52% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1310 | 1264 | 57% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 908 | 896 | 52% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 896 | 956 | 41% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-04-17 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 1061 | 971 | 63% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1062 | 1091 | 46% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1176 | 42% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 979 | 1023 | 44% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
| 998 | 863 | 69% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 954 | 1099 | 30% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1062 | 1167 | 35% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1202 | 31% | 2019-08-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 896 | 71% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 926 | 918 | 51% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1202 | 32% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1170 | 1108 | 59% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 1264 | 19% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 902 | 1006 | 35% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 902 | 1006 | 35% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1001 | 1057 | 42% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 896 | 971 | 39% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1252 | 19% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1057 | 1031 | 54% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 1051 | 55% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1230 | 1105 | 67% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1013 | 36% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1252 | 14% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 890 | 78% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1164 | 1079 | 62% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Lost |
Attacking (41 wins) average ELOs: 1024.4 vs 1051.9 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).