Costly Baptism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 163 (49 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (Polish): 75
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 1051 | 27% | 2024-09-08 | Lost |
| 923 | 975 | 43% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1011 | 66% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1069 | 1024 | 56% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 941 | 955 | 48% | 2023-03-14 | Lost |
| 969 | 958 | 52% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1306 | 1259 | 57% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 923 | 54% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 936 | 923 | 52% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 923 | 1069 | 30% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 904 | 917 | 48% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 1146 | 1074 | 60% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1048 | 1084 | 45% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-05-22 | Won |
| 954 | 863 | 63% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 955 | 1023 | 40% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1169 | 33% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1126 | 43% | 2019-08-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 923 | 62% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-04-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1271 | 24% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 1102 | 57% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1259 | 20% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1001 | 1041 | 44% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 923 | 975 | 43% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1247 | 19% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1069 | 1032 | 55% | 2016-07-20 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1020 | 61% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1227 | 1106 | 67% | 2016-06-12 | Won |
| 938 | 1250 | 14% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1011 | 63% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 889 | 78% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
| 1141 | 1164 | 47% | | Won |
| 1164 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1056.6 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).