Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1088 | 34% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 698 | 1094 | 9% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1227 | 1094 | 68% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1030 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 863 | 965 | 36% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 953 | 66% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1066 | 68% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1065 | 45% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 959 | 67% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 939 | 80% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1191 | 44% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1078 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1032.7 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).