Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2025-02-03 | | Lost |
| 699 | 1077 | 10% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 972 | 54% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-09 | | Won |
| 1083 | 953 | 68% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1179 | 1066 | 66% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1076 | 43% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1008 | 959 | 57% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1222 | 939 | 84% | 2016-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1022.7 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).