Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 814 | 1015 | 24% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1001 | 52% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 862 | 960 | 36% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 955 | 74% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1159 | 1061 | 64% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1248 | 26% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 1008 | 61% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1257 | 938 | 86% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1117 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1029.9 has a 55.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).