Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 266 (44 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 135
Defender wins (German): 130
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1025 | 58% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 896 | 1189 | 16% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 848 | 57% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1189 | 26% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1413 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 992 | 979 | 52% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 971 | 54% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1130 | 969 | 72% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1046 | 37% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1105 | 53% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 749 | 86% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1313 | 1074 | 80% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1313 | 904 | 91% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1148 | 999 | 70% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1148 | 1113 | 55% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1313 | 1068 | 80% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 1028 | 54% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 842 | 1193 | 12% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1066 | 58% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1113 | 56% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 896 | 65% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1208 | 39% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1075 | 950 | 67% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1027 | 48% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1313 | 992 | 86% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1170 | 929 | 80% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1080 | 1252 | 27% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1220 | 890 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1082.9 vs 1030.7 has a 57.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).