Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 266 (44 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 143
Defender wins (German): 122
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1024 | 58% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 893 | 1185 | 16% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 908 | 48% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1185 | 27% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1416 | 1015 | 91% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 927 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1035 | 47% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1130 | 979 | 70% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1043 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1071 | 741 | 87% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1333 | 1074 | 82% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1333 | 1006 | 87% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1333 | 1068 | 82% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 1028 | 52% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 823 | 1203 | 10% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1067 | 55% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 951 | 57% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1208 | 40% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1051 | 950 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1027 | 59% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1333 | 993 | 88% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1109 | 34% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 929 | 77% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1256 | 22% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1219 | 891 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 1149 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1035 has a 56.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).