A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (25 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (Japanese): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1277 | 1017 | 82% | 2025-09-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1199 | 24% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1077 | 953 | 67% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 756 | 1091 | 13% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1110 | 45% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 1109 | 27% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 983 | 979 | 51% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1206 | 1026 | 74% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1065 | 1010 | 58% | 2017-09-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 1015 | 49% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1265 | 34% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 780 | 87% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1045.8 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).