A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (28 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2026-07-19 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1007 | 54% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2025-09-30 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1320 | 15% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1210 | 889 | 86% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1185 | 941 | 80% | 2024-12-14 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1165 | 28% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 988 | 974 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | | Lost |
| 914 | 1072 | 29% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1061 | 41% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 864 | 1042 | 26% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 979 | 73% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2020-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-06-09 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1059 | 54% | 2017-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-11-12 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1081 | 49% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1158 | 1225 | 40% | 2016-10-04 | | Won |
| 891 | 959 | 40% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1052 | 68% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1023 | 72% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1202 | 883 | 86% | | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1027.8 has a 54.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).