Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1323 | 1153 | 73% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1153 | 27% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1189 | 30% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1024 | 70% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1019 | 39% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1085 | 47% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1313 | 13% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1107.1 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).