Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 837 | 72% | 2025-11-23 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1136 | 77% | 2018-11-01 | | Won |
| 982 | 1136 | 29% | 2018-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2016-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2016-03-19 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1108 | 28% | 2016-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2016-03-10 | | Won |
| 973 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-12-05 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1098 | 23% | 2015-10-09 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1090.1 has a 41.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).