Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 945 | 74% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1116 | 870 | 80% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 974 | 1130 | 29% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1125 | 44% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 998 | 1247 | 19% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.4 vs 1069.6 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).