Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1188 | 39% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1252 | 1154 | 64% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 749 | 1252 | 5% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 930 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1164 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1025 | 46% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 949 | 72% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1313 | 983 | 87% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 960 | 1075 | 34% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1148 | 1143 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1170 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1100 | 44% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1057 | 56% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1074.3 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).