Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (American): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 1047 | 73% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1254 | 1126 | 68% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 733 | 1254 | 5% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1154 | 1171 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1154 | 26% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1023 | 46% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 969 | 70% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1340 | 983 | 89% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1035 | 40% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 1219 | 40% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1137 | 33% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1132 | 42% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1010 | 64% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1071.6 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).