Nothing Ventured
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2024-01-16 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2023-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2023-10-07 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-07-02 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1080 | 48% | 2019-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 966 | 74% | 2017-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 862 | 84% | 2016-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 891 | 81% | 2016-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1064 | 55% | 2015-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1011.1 has a 59.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).