Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-12-18 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-05-10 | | Won |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2022-01-16 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2021-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2021-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-08-27 | | Won |
| 930 | 1000 | 40% | 2018-08-15 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-07-21 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1133 | 45% | 2016-03-30 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1108 | 68% | 2015-08-18 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-02-28 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1065.6 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).