Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1200 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 972 | 46% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 926 | 918 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1060 | 56% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1184 | 1096 | 62% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1056.5 has a 53.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).