Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 812 | 89% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1126 | 1030 | 63% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1192 | 1192 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1139 | 1094 | 56% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1075 | 46% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1006.9 has a 58.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).