To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (18 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1029 | 51% | 2026-03-04 | Won |
| 975 | 1031 | 42% | 2025-10-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 920 | 1077 | 29% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1132 | 36% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 1123 | 63% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1021 | 71% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1057 | 64% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1141 | 56% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 1084 | 30% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1146 | 955 | 75% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1059 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086 vs 1094.7 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).