To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (British): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 924 | 1069 | 30% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1044 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 1140 | 60% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1310 | 21% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1033 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 968 | 1084 | 34% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 898 | 954 | 42% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 982 | 955 | 54% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1106 | 40% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1184 | 1056 | 68% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1069.8 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).