Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (14 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1025 | 55% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1169 | 1206 | 45% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 888 | 71% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1250 | 938 | 86% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1069 | 45% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1126 | 55% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1011 | 62% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1011 | 62% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 889 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1184 | 56% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 1052.9 has a 58.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).