Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 153 (48 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 76
Defender wins (British): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 849 | 74% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1041 | 82% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 750 | 94% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1154 | 1151 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 964 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1170 | 32% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1133 | 39% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1216 | 27% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1216 | 27% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 974 | 67% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 965 | 1141 | 27% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 952 | 61% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1108 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1118 | 1108 | 51% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1007 | 58% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2016-01-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1071 | 59% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 876 | 76% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1051 | 51% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2014-11-18 | Won |
| 1139 | 1003 | 69% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1063 | 46% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1136 | 974 | 72% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1003 | 1131 | 32% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1003 | 43% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 884 | 54% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1135 | 51% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
| 1343 | 1162 | 74% | 2014-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1046.4 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).