Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (43 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 77
Defender wins (British): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1189 | 47% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 864 | 75% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 749 | 1252 | 5% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1312 | 1041 | 83% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1167 | 1143 | 53% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 994 | 1153 | 29% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1133 | 995 | 69% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1202 | 26% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 925 | 1215 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 925 | 1215 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1075 | 47% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1148 | 26% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1004 | 52% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1093 | 53% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1093 | 53% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1066 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1013 | 913 | 64% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1144 | 1059 | 62% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1193 | 31% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 1075 | 60% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1059 | 65% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1119 | 41% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1059 | 36% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1060 | 62% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1054.7 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).