Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1083 | 45% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1026 | 1218 | 25% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 988 | 1223 | 21% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1142 | 38% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1124 | 1157 | 45% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1081 | 36% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1106.9 has a 41.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).