Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1042 | 48% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1028 | 1003 | 54% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 889 | 1002 | 34% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1186 | 996 | 75% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 973 | 986 | 48% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 965 | 57% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 888 | 1019 | 32% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 888 | 63% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 901 | 1106 | 24% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1167 | 46% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1018.1 vs 1022.9 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).