Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (21 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2025-11-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1055 | 1184 | 32% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1066 | 48% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1090 | 62% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1120 | 48% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1117 | 48% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 1045 | 959 | 62% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1105 | 1045 | 59% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1243 | 16% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 947 | 61% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1243 | 24% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1102 | 43% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1020 | 891 | 68% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1057.3 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).