Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (20 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 875 | 73% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1045 | 1180 | 31% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1012 | 56% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1085 | 56% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1120 | 46% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1111 | 51% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1069 | 56% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1250 | 16% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 1250 | 19% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1116 | 41% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 889 | 70% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1056.8 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).