Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (20 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1039 | 1187 | 30% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 877 | 1198 | 14% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1074 | 46% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1090 | 64% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1120 | 47% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1117 | 61% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 1001 | 960 | 56% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1105 | 1028 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1040 | 48% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1264 | 15% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 947 | 63% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1264 | 18% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1198 | 30% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 977 | 62% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 890 | 69% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1066.7 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).