The Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-08-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2021-03-12 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1431 | 7% | 2020-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-05-28 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-03-11 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-01-07 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-01-01 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-01-21 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1113.2 vs 1063.7 has a 57.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).