Gallant Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1179 | 30% | 2026-03-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1083 | 35% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 986 | 56% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1143 | 62% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1225 | 1028 | 76% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
| 988 | 1028 | 44% | 2013-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1076.2 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).