Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (27 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1254 | 1252 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 1040 | 48% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 867 | 81% | 2025-04-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1025 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 994 | 996 | 50% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1110 | 35% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1264 | 22% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 996 | 46% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1226 | 22% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1312 | 1039 | 83% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 845 | 1264 | 8% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 930 | 889 | 56% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1164 | 788 | 90% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 890 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 929 | 68% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 996 | 983 | 52% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 788 | 1051 | 18% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1057 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1078 | 1105 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1050 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).