Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (21 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 33
Defender wins (Hungarian): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1113 | 53% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1071 | 39% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1124 | 1223 | 36% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1047 | 65% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 847 | 987 | 31% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1167 | 43% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1018 | 76% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1036 | 999 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 954 | 44% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1099 | 48% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 941 | 1037 | 37% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 987 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1048 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).