Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (22 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1062 | 46% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 980 | 64% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 892 | 870 | 53% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 1084 | 29% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1019 | 963 | 58% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1249 | 63% | 2017-01-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 952 | 893 | 58% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1197 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1144 | 37% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1054.1 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).