Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (20 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1042 | 1063 | 47% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1004 | 59% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 892 | 907 | 48% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 929 | 1108 | 26% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 978 | 54% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 873 | 88% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 989 | 58% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 909 | 1170 | 18% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1187 | 47% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1149 | 31% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1052.9 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).