Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (22 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1062 | 43% | 2025-02-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 952 | 66% | 2025-01-14 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 1095 | 28% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 963 | 64% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2018-10-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1263 | 61% | 2017-01-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 949 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 985 | 893 | 63% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1197 | 47% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1144 | 34% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1052.4 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).