HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (21 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1168 | 1099 | 60% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 788 | 1086 | 15% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1124 | 35% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1220 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1086 | 68% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 845 | 1220 | 10% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1220 | 1079 | 69% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1170 | 924 | 80% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1202 | 54% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 852 | 907 | 42% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 852 | 1148 | 15% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 938 | 73% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1061 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).