HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1041 | 73% | 2025-05-08 | | Lost |
| 914 | 1169 | 19% | 2024-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-06-27 | | Won |
| 1052 | 971 | 61% | 2021-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1135 | 1292 | 29% | 2021-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 1169 | 67% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 840 | 1292 | 7% | 2019-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1213 | 869 | 88% | 2019-01-08 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1202 | 63% | 2018-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 945 | 75% | 2016-11-22 | | Won |
| 1140 | 959 | 74% | 2015-01-27 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-12-19 | | Won |
| 1017 | 876 | 69% | 2014-12-19 | | Lost |
| 849 | 1000 | 30% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 849 | 1158 | 14% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2012-07-31 | | Won |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-03-07 | | Lost |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 2012-02-12 | | Lost |
| 955 | 1041 | 38% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1045.4 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).