HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (22 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1086 | 45% | 2025-05-08 | Lost |
| 756 | 1057 | 15% | 2024-05-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1223 | 23% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1057 | 72% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 1217 | 15% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 1217 | 1084 | 68% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
| 1176 | 896 | 83% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 1007 | 78% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 908 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 875 | 1140 | 18% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 945 | 74% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 989 | 948 | 56% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1039.2 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).