Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1002 | 48% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 908 | 908 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1059 | 1002 | 58% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1193 | 36% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 877 | 1004 | 32% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1046 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1075 | 46% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1133 | 52% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1144 | 43% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1099 | 44% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 998 | 767 | 79% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1039.1 has a 53.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).