Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1001 | 55% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 913 | 915 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1094 | 1001 | 63% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1060 | 53% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1112 | 65% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1065 | 70% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1090 | 52% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 1191 | 14% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1046 | 46% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 994 | 59% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1084 | 45% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1128 | 1048 | 61% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1133 | 1146 | 48% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 918 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1070 | 53% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 965 | 766 | 76% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1344 | 20% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1046.3 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).