Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1090 | 27% | 2026-03-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 928 | 1015 | 38% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 910 | 53% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 1105 | 48% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1140 | 35% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1059 | 71% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1042.7 has a 53.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).