Three Card Monty
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2012-07-28 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1044 | 37% | 2012-01-28 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1111 | 48% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1017 vs 1077 has a 41.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).