Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1210 | 47% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 944 | 59% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1216 | 40% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 852 | 846 | 51% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1066 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1175 | 28% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1223 | 53% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 1058 | 54% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1078 | 52% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1144 | 1105 | 56% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1004 | 1018 | 48% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1112 | 1059 | 58% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1075 | 940 | 69% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1069.3 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).