Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1054 | 58% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1138 | 65% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1095 | 51% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1114 | 45% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1098 | 39% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1057 | 48% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1094 | 39% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 1214 | 1068 | 70% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1088.6 vs 1074.5 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).