Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (French / British): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1139 | 43% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1035 | 75% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1139 | 61% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1124 | 1065 | 58% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1015 | 38% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1247 | 29% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1055.3 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).