Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (French / British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1182 | 56% | 2026-07-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1263 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1048 | 42% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 976 | 81% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 916 | 73% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1112 | 65% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1065 | 70% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1146 | 48% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 965 | 1015 | 43% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1317 | 20% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1074.9 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).