Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (20 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1150 | 34% | 2026-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2026-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2025-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-08-05 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-01-13 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2017-02-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2017-01-26 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-05 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2016-01-24 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2013-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2011-02-27 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-02-27 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1219 | 27% | 2011-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 987 | 53% | 2010-12-03 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1198 | 31% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1003 | 60% | 2010-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1017.4 has a 59.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).