Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1065 | 46% | 2026-06-18 | Won |
| 1097 | 1048 | 57% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1160 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1263 | 1318 | 42% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1094 | 1088 | 51% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2017-02-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-05 | Tied |
| 986 | 1035 | 43% | 2016-01-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1038 | 53% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1179 | 947 | 79% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1435 | 1187 | 81% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 930 | 68% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1186 | 45% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1219 | 27% | 2011-01-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 987 | 64% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1170 | 37% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1002 | 58% | 2010-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1097.7 vs 1052.6 has a 56.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).