A Midnight Clear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 990 | 61% | 2026-06-23 | Won |
| 1161 | 1205 | 44% | 2026-06-10 | Won |
| 1263 | 1024 | 80% | 2025-03-25 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2021-12-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-03-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 897 | 75% | 2019-04-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2017-08-04 | Tied |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 1317 | 1080 | 80% | 2011-01-02 | Won |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1140.7 vs 1074.4 has a 59.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).