The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (39 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 74
Defender wins (German): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1078 | 40% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1074 | 69% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1165 | 21% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1051 | 52% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 1142 | 35% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1032 | 47% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 938 | 54% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1214 | 971 | 80% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 979 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
| 1250 | 1159 | 63% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 906 | 1214 | 15% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 988 | 991 | 50% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1014 | 66% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1033 | 64% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 1115 | 57% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1259 | 34% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
| 1047 | 976 | 60% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 977 | 931 | 57% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 987 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 931 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 697 | 1023 | 13% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1092 | 47% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1164 | 1003 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1031.1 vs 1042.7 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).