The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (43 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 77
Defender wins (German): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1035 | 70% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 938 | 1078 | 31% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1099 | 52% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 964 | 1018 | 42% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 1130 | 33% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 953 | 82% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 986 | 1007 | 47% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 979 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
| 1256 | 1044 | 77% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
| 886 | 1219 | 13% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 931 | 68% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1152 | 46% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1012 | 937 | 61% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1018 | 68% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1135 | 52% | 2011-11-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
| 941 | 1094 | 29% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
| 1134 | 1208 | 40% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
| 1139 | 976 | 72% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
| 992 | 919 | 60% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1008 | 61% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2010-09-01 | Won |
| 693 | 1050 | 11% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1090 | 41% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1104 | 1035 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1034 has a 50.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).