Shouting Into The Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1097 | 47% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1047 | 45% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1074 | 63% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1011 | 983 | 54% | 2024-06-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 1159 | 40% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1250 | 27% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1040 | 56% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1196 | 40% | 2022-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 940 | 49% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-12-24 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 940 | 1165 | 21% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1143 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2020-11-30 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 1047 | 998 | 57% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1140 | 44% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1106 | 40% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1259 | 928 | 87% | 2016-03-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1033 | 46% | 2015-07-25 | Won |
| 1227 | 1098 | 68% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1001 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1011 | 66% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 1130 | 47% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2014-11-04 | Won |
| 1130 | 1116 | 52% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 954 | 882 | 60% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1099 | 59% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1400 | 13% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1150 | 30% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 864 | 1069 | 24% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1310 | 18% | 2011-01-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1090 | 59% | 2010-09-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-09-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1151 | 40% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1023 | 884 | 69% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1164 | 43% | | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1075.6 vs 1090.4 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).